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Middle East Crisis ‘A Test of Global Security’, Nigerian Scholars Warn at NIIA Lecture

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Nigeria’s top foreign policy thinkers say the Middle East conflict is no longer a regional dispute but a global security risk with direct consequences for Africa, international politics, and global economic stability.

The warning came during the Nigeria Institute of International Affairs (NIIA) Foreign Policy Lecture Series held in Lagos on Tuesday, where scholars assessed the long-running Israeli-Palestinian conflict and the diplomatic struggle to resolve it.

Middle East Crisis ‘A Barometer of Global Security’, NIIA DG Says

The Director-General of the Nigeria Institute of International Affairs (NIIA), Prof Eghosa Osaghae, says the Middle East conflict has become “one of the barometers for measuring global security,” adding that developments in the region shape peace, politics, and prosperity across continents.

Speaking at the opening of the NIIA Foreign Policy Lecture Series in Lagos, Prof Osaghae said the institute deliberately chose a “progressive voice” for this edition of the series.

“Our speaker is a frontline activist who has been in the trenches and in the struggles,” he said.

“This lecture represents our first shift slightly to the left as we continue to promote open, free, and nonpartisan discussions at the NIIA.”

He stressed that the conversation on the Middle East is crucial because its crisis “has ramifications beyond the region.”

The roots: ‘A European problem’

Guest Lecturer Prof Sylvester Odion Akhaine argued that the current crisis did not originate solely from the Israeli-Palestinian dispute but from deeper historical forces.

He described the conflict as driven by ethno-nationalism, claiming its origins lie in Europe.

“The Middle East crisis was essentially a European problem,” he said, adding that this places a responsibility on both Europeans and North Americans to support a resolution.

“I am not taking the Americans out of the equation. Their buy-in is necessary because of the powerful Israeli lobby in the United States.”

He said diplomacy, not military force, remains the only viable path to a settlement.

Two-state solution ‘the most pragmatic path’

Prof Odion reiterated that more than 165 UN member states support the creation of independent Israeli and Palestinian states, a vision he described as realistic and internationally backed.

“Both parties need to reach a compromise that will resolve the lingering crisis once and for all,” he said.

“States must come together, meet, and share ideas. True diplomacy is the only way forward.”

He added that while the broader Arab-Israeli dispute has been mostly managed through diplomacy, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict remains unresolved.

Africa cannot look away’ – Adele Jinadu

Chairman of the event, Prof Adele Jinadu, said African nations, especially Nigeria, must pay attention to the Middle East crisis because of its consequences for global economics and Africa’s own development challenges.

“Politics is complex, and there are no easy solutions,” he said.

“Nigerians should take interest in this crisis while protecting our national interests.”

He noted global consensus around a two-state solution and referenced ongoing international legal debates, including genocide allegations brought by South Africa and potential International Criminal Court actions.

Historical contradictions inside Israel

Also speaking at the event, Prof Bolaji Akinyemi, Chairman of the NIIA Governing Board, highlighted internal contradictions within Israeli society such as linguistic, political, and cultural between Jews who remained in Palestine during Ottoman and British rule and European Jews who later migrated.

He praised the lecture for adopting an analytical, rather than ideological, perspective.

“This is the kind of scholarly analysis we need  not emotional or purely ideological positions,” he said.

Industry reactions / Wider implications

Mrs Aina Odion Akhaine at the NIIA Auditorium during the lecture series.

Diplomacy experts who attended the lecture told NigeriaUpdates that the discussions underline Nigeria’s increasing role in international peace conversations.

Others said the crisis remains a major testing ground for global cooperation, especially among Europe, the US, and Arab states.

What’s next?

The NIIA says the lecture forms part of a broader series examining global conflicts that create “turbulence in international politics.”

More sessions focusing on African foreign policy and Nigeria’s role in global diplomacy are expected in the coming months.

Diplomacy/International Affairs

Nigeria Customs, China Envoy Strengthen Trade Ties, Target Illegal Economic Activities

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The Nigeria Customs Service has renewed efforts to strengthen legitimate trade with China while intensifying measures against illegal economic activities, including wildlife trafficking and illicit mining operations.

The Comptroller-General of Customs, Adewale Adeniyi, made this known during a meeting with Nigeria’s Ambassador-Designate to China, Abdulrahman Dambazau, at the Customs Headquarters in Abuja on Wednesday.

The meeting focused on deepening bilateral trade cooperation, improving customs enforcement, and ensuring smoother trade processes between both countries.

Why Nigeria-China Trade Matters

China remains Nigeria’s largest trading partner, making customs cooperation between the two countries critical for imports, exports, manufacturing supply chains, and government revenue.

Officials said stronger collaboration could help reduce trade bottlenecks, improve cargo clearance efficiency, and curb illegal activities that weaken economic growth.

Speaking during the visit, Mr Adeniyi described China as central to Nigeria’s international trade strategy and said closer engagement would help align trade policies and improve transparency.

“Stronger engagement and continuous communication between the NCS and China will ensure more effective trade facilitation and mutual economic benefit,” he stated.

The Customs chief also said some Chinese companies operating in Nigeria are already participating in the Service’s Authorised Economic Operator (AEO) programme, which rewards compliant businesses with faster and more efficient customs processes.

According to him, companies that comply with trade regulations and global standards have continued to receive recognition from the Service.

Crackdown on Illegal Trade Flows

Beyond trade facilitation, the Nigeria Customs Service said it is increasing enforcement efforts to stop Nigeria from becoming a transit hub for illegal wildlife trafficking and other illicit cross-border activities.

Dr Adeniyi called for stronger intelligence sharing between both countries, particularly in tackling illegal mining operations and suspicious trade movements.

He also revealed that Nigeria and China currently operate under a Customs Mutual Administrative Agreement (CMAA) with the General Administration of Customs of China to support legitimate trade and improve bilateral customs cooperation.

Trade analysts say closer customs cooperation between Nigeria and China could help reduce revenue leakages, improve data accuracy, and strengthen border security.

Experts also note that discrepancies in trade figures between countries often create opportunities for smuggling, under-declaration, and tax evasion.

Dr Adeniyi acknowledged this concern, saying trade data released by both nations should closely align to improve transparency and accountability.

Dambazau Pushes for Faster Cargo Clearance

Speaking during the visit, retired Lieutenant General Dambazau said stronger engagement with the Customs Service would support his diplomatic assignment in China and help Nigeria maximise the benefits of its trade relationship with Beijing.

He stressed the importance of improving cargo clearance timelines and strengthening import certification systems to prevent abuse of trade policies.

Dambazau also highlighted the importance of customs cooperation in supporting zero-tariff trade arrangements involving African countries.

“Stronger collaboration and continuous support from the NCS will ensure smoother trade processes and the full realisation of Nigeria and China trade relations,” he stated.

Industry Perspective

Business stakeholders have repeatedly called for faster cargo processing at Nigerian ports, arguing that delays increase operational costs and affect consumer prices.

Importers and manufacturers are also pushing for improved customs transparency and better coordination between Nigerian and Chinese authorities to reduce supply chain disruptions.

Analysts believe enhanced customs cooperation could improve investor confidence and strengthen Nigeria’s position in regional and global trade.

What Happens Next?

The discussions are expected to pave the way for stronger diplomatic and customs engagement between Nigeria and China, especially around trade compliance, enforcement coordination, and investment facilitation.

Industry observers will also watch closely for possible reforms aimed at reducing cargo delays, harmonising trade data, and tightening controls against illicit economic activities.

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Diplomacy/International Affairs

Nigeria Reaffirms One-China Policy as NCSP Pushes Deeper Economic Ties With China

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Nigeria has reaffirmed its long-standing support for the One-China Principle as the country seeks deeper economic and industrial cooperation with China, according to the Nigeria-China Strategic Partnership (NCSP).

In a statement issued on 20 May, the Director-General of the NCSP, Joseph Tegbe, said Nigeria’s relationship with China is built on “mutual respect, trust and shared strategic interest” and goes beyond trade and infrastructure deals.

The statement comes at a time when China continues to strengthen its influence across Africa through infrastructure financing, technology partnerships and industrial investments, while global powers compete for economic and diplomatic alliances.

Why Nigeria’s China Relationship Matters

China remains one of Nigeria’s biggest trading partners and a major financier of infrastructure projects, including rail lines, airports, telecommunications and energy facilities.

According to the NCSP, Nigeria’s consistent support for the One-China Principle has helped build political trust with Beijing over the past five decades.

The One-China Principle recognises the People’s Republic of China as the sole legitimate government of China, while regarding Taiwan as part of Chinese territory.

In the statement, Tegbe said China considers the policy central to its diplomatic relations worldwide.

“For China, this is a matter of sovereign certainty. The People’s Republic of China is the world’s only legitimate Chinese government, and Taiwan is an inalienable part of its territory,” the statement said.

The NCSP also referenced recent high-level engagements between Nigeria and China, including President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing in 2024.

According to the statement, Nigeria reaffirmed its support for the One-China Principle during the visit and backed China’s pursuit of national reunification.

Nigeria’s Foreign Policy Position

The NCSP said Nigeria’s support for China aligns with its long-standing foreign policy principles, including sovereignty and non-interference in the internal affairs of other countries.

The agency also cited comments by Jafar Yakubu, who recently said Nigeria’s position on the issue remains “clear, consistent and firmly rooted in international law and bilateral agreements.”

Analysts say Nigeria’s diplomatic consistency could strengthen investor confidence and improve long-term economic cooperation with China, especially as African nations seek financing for infrastructure and industrial development.

Push for Industrialisation

Beyond diplomacy, the NCSP said its current focus is to convert political trust into economic gains for Nigeria.

The agency said future collaboration will target manufacturing investment, technology transfer, industrial development and export-oriented production.

The statement noted that China has already contributed to Nigeria’s railway corridors, port infrastructure, telecommunications networks and energy projects, but added that the partnership “can and must deliver more.”

It identified Nigeria’s digital economy, agro-processing industry, solid minerals sector and consumer market as areas with significant opportunities for deeper cooperation.

“NCSP continues to strengthen bilateral collaboration with China across trade, investment, technology transfer, infrastructure and capacity building, with a clear mandate to deliver measurable, tangible value to Nigeria’s economy,” the statement added.

Industry and Public Perspectives

Business groups in Nigeria have increasingly called for stronger industrial partnerships with China, particularly in manufacturing and technology.

Economists, however, say Nigeria must ensure future agreements prioritise local job creation, skills transfer and debt sustainability

What’s Next?

The Nigeria-China Strategic Partnership is expected to continue discussions with Chinese investors and government agencies on industrial cooperation, trade expansion and infrastructure development.

Observers say the success of the partnership will depend on how effectively Nigeria converts diplomatic goodwill into measurable economic outcomes, including employment, exports and local manufacturing growth.

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US Cancels Pakistan Mission as Iran Rejects Direct Talks Amid Fragile Ceasefire

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Pakistani officials meet Iranian delegation amid regional tensions

The United States has cancelled a planned diplomatic trip to Pakistan aimed at reviving talks with Iran, as tensions remain high despite a fragile ceasefire and continued disruptions to global energy supplies.

What happened

US envoys were expected to travel to Islamabad to explore indirect negotiations with Iran, but President Donald Trump called off the visit, citing a lack of progress.

He said there was little value in sending officials “on a long trip” for talks that could be handled remotely.

“There was no point in travelling just to hold unproductive discussions,” Mr Trump said, adding diplomacy could continue by phone.

The cancelled trip involved senior envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, who were expected to meet regional officials in Pakistan.

Iran rejects direct talks

Iran has maintained that it will not engage in direct negotiations with Washington.

Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi recently visited Islamabad, holding talks with Pakistan’s civilian and military leadership.

However, those discussions ended without a breakthrough.

Tehran insists that any future negotiations must remain indirect and has set conditions, including the lifting of a US naval blockade.

Pakistan’s mediation role

Pakistan has positioned itself as a key intermediary between both sides.

Officials in Islamabad coordinated meetings with Iranian representatives and were preparing for the arrival of US envoys before the trip was cancelled.

Security in the capital was tightened ahead of the planned talks, reflecting the sensitivity of the situation.

Why it matters

The diplomatic deadlock comes at a critical moment for global stability.

The ongoing tensions have disrupted energy flows, particularly through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital route for global oil shipments.

Oil prices remain elevated, and shipping routes have been affected by restrictions and security concerns.

The US has extended waivers to ease maritime shipping rules in an attempt to stabilise supply chains.

Conflict remains volatile

Despite ceasefire agreements in parts of the region, violence has not fully subsided.

Clashes continue in areas such as Lebanon, with reports of civilian and military casualties.

The broader conflict has already resulted in thousands of deaths across multiple countries.

At the same time, Iran has resumed limited commercial flights from Tehran, suggesting a cautious easing of internal restrictions.

What’s behind the stalemate

US officials say internal divisions within Iran’s leadership are complicating negotiations.

These disagreements have made it difficult for Tehran to present a unified position in talks.

Meanwhile, some US allies are calling for stronger measures, including securing control over strategic shipping routes to guarantee global energy access.

What’s next

Although the cancellation of the Pakistan trip signals a setback, both sides have not ruled out continued diplomacy.

Mr Trump said the move does not indicate an immediate return to war, but acknowledged that the next steps remain uncertain.

Indirect talks may continue through intermediaries, with Pakistan likely to remain central to those efforts.

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